Using HRSA’s Health Workforce Simulation Model to Estimate the Rural and Non-Rural Health Workforce

September 2020
Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA)

The purpose of this report is to describe the status of HRSA’s ongoing projection improvements specifically with respect to deriving estimates of workforce supply and demand by rural, suburban, and urban geographies.

This report begins with an overview of HRSA’s Health Workforce Simulation Model. Then, the report discusses approaches to incorporating rurality
into HRSA’s health workforce projections, and the approach that HRSA is currently using. Two illustrative examples of rurality projections, one for general surgeons and one for psychiatrists, are then presented. The report concludes with a review of key assumptions, current modeling
limitations, and future directions.